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What is the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll?
The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll is a public-opinion research center based at Rutgers University, run through the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling (ECPIP). It surveys New Jersey residents on politics, elections, health, and other public-interest topics, and publishes press releases and poll reports that journalists, policymakers, and researchers cite. Its work is directed by Ashley Koning, and the center also conducts commissioned research for government bodies, nonprofits, and academic researchers.
What it offers
- Public poll releases: Regular survey findings on state and national issues, including election horserace numbers (for example, a 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial poll reported by the center's Twitter feed).
- Client research services: Custom survey work for organizations with a public-interest mission.
- A poll data archive: Historical data for secondary analysis.
- The Garden State Panel: A probability-based, multi-mode panel of New Jersey adults, described on the site as exclusive to the center.
Who it's for
A reporter covering New Jersey politics can pull citable numbers from a release; a nonprofit can commission a survey through client services; a student or academic can reuse archived data; and a general reader can check how New Jerseyans feel about an issue rather than relying on anecdote. The center itself makes that case in a quoted comment from Koning: polls exist "to have data instead of anecdotes."
Trade-offs to weigh
The center's public releases are strongest on New Jersey and on topics it has tracked over time, such as health care. If you need national or multi-state data, or a fast one-off survey outside its focus, another provider may fit better. Commissioned work and panel access involve contacting the center directly, so scope and timing depend on its capacity rather than a self-serve tool.
As a next step, browse the press releases for the topic closest to yours, then check whether the underlying data is in the archive before deciding to commission new research. For complementary national polling, compare with Pew Research Center.
How can my organization commission a public opinion poll from ECPIP?
Contact the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling (ECPIP) directly through the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll website to discuss a commissioned project; the site's "Client Services" section and its "Contact us" prompt are the intended starting points, and there is no public self-service order form. ECPIP describes its work as research for government at all levels, nonprofits with a public-interest mission, and college and university researchers and staff, so a first inquiry should state which of these you are and what decision the poll is meant to inform.
What to prepare before you write
- Purpose and audience: the policy question, program, or election you need to understand, and who will act on the findings.
- Population and geography: for example, New Jersey adults, a subset such as likely voters, or residents of a specific region. ECPIP's own panel is described as a probability-based, multi-mode panel of New Jersey adults, which matters if your population is statewide New Jersey.
- Timeline: when results are needed and whether fielding must avoid or precede a specific event.
- Deliverables: topline results, crosstabs, a written report, a briefing, or public release.
- Budget range and disclosure expectations: whether results will be published, and any funder or partner that must be named.
How the process typically runs
Expect an initial scoping conversation, a proposal covering design, sample, questionnaire length, field dates, and cost, then questionnaire drafting and review, fielding, and analysis. Academic polling centers usually want to agree on wording and methodology before fieldwork, and publication or data-archive practices are usually settled in the agreement rather than after the fact.
Practical considerations
- Lead time: build in several weeks for drafting and review before fielding; rushed questionnaires are where weak polls come from.
- Questionnaire discipline: keep questions short, neutral, and tested, and resist adding items late.
- Methodology fit: ask how the sample will be drawn and how the design supports subgroup estimates, since small subgroups drive up cost.
- Public-interest framing: if your organization is a nonprofit or public agency, say so early; it shapes how the project is scoped.
A useful next step is to draft a one-page brief with the five items above and send it through the site's contact channel, asking for a scoping call. For context on ECPIP's published work and methodology, see Rutgers-Eagleton Poll. If you are weighing other academic polling centers, Marist Poll and Quinnipiac University Poll publish their methods and may be worth comparing for regional fit.
How do I access past Rutgers-Eagleton Poll data for my own research?
Use the Poll Data Archive linked from the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling (ECPIP) site: Rutgers-Eagleton Poll. The homepage lists "Research — Visit our Poll Data Archive," which is the intended entry point for people who want past poll results rather than the latest press releases. If you need files or variables that aren't clearly posted, the site's contact route is the practical next step; the center also describes conducting research for government, nonprofits and university-based researchers, so it is set up for outside research requests.
A practical way to work with the archive
- Define your question and period first. Decide whether you need a single survey, a trend across years, or a topic such as health care or elections. The homepage's examples show both election horse-race results and health-policy findings, so archives can serve very different projects.
- Check question wording before comparing years. A series is only comparable if the same question was asked in the same way. Note the field dates and sample for each release you use.
- Record the source precisely. Capture the poll name, field dates, sample description and the exact question wording, not just the topline number.
- Ask about unavailable items. If you need crosstabs, datasets or older material that isn't visible, contact ECPIP and explain your project, the variables you need and your timeline.
For a concrete case: a graduate student studying New Jersey health-information habits could use the Health Matters poll findings cited on the site as a starting point, then check the archive for the underlying question wording before building a comparison with newer data. A newsroom or advocacy researcher would instead prioritize the most recent election releases and their sample details.
One caution: the homepage mixes press releases, news coverage and social-media posts. Treat those as pointers, and rely on the archive's own documentation for methodology. If your work needs probability-based New Jersey samples collected now rather than past data, the Garden State Panel described on the site is the relevant option to ask about.
How does the Garden State Panel recruit and survey New Jersey adults?
The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll describes the Garden State Panel as its "exclusive, probability-based, multi-mode panel of New Jersey adults," run with SSRS. Those two descriptors are the key to how recruitment and surveying work: probability-based means members are selected through random sampling rather than by volunteering, and multi-mode means the same panel can be surveyed by more than one method (for example, online, phone or mail), which helps reach people who don't respond to any single channel. The site presents the panel as a resource for clients and researchers and invites them to make contact for details.
What the page does and doesn't specify
The page gives the panel's design principles but not its recruitment mechanics—there's no posted description of the exact sampling frame, address or phone-based recruitment steps, incentive structure, or which modes are offered to which respondents. Anyone planning to use the panel for a study would need to request that methodology directly through the center's contact channel. The site's broader evidence shows the center's public-facing work: press releases, a poll data archive, and client research services, plus a 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial poll conducted July 31–August 11.
A practical scenario
Suppose a nonprofit wants credible estimates of New Jersey adults' views on telehealth. A probability-based, multi-mode panel is the right fit if the goal is population-level inference with documented sampling, and the multi-mode design reduces the risk that the sample skews toward one kind of respondent. The trade-off is that panel-based estimates depend on the panel's recruitment and weighting being sound, and on response rates holding up over repeated waves—so ask for the recruitment and weighting documentation before committing.
What to ask the center
- How panel members are initially selected and contacted.
- Which survey modes each member can use, and how mode is assigned.
- How often members are surveyed, and how attrition is handled.
- What documentation accompanies deliverables (methodology reports, weighting details).
For context on how other organizations describe probability panels, see Pew Research Center and SSRS.
What do Rutgers-Eagleton polls show about the 2025 New Jersey governor's race?
The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll's most recent public reading of the 2025 New Jersey governor's race, as circulated on its site's Twitter feed (dated August 2025, fieldwork July 31–August 11), showed Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli 47% to 37%, with 3% choosing neither or someone else and 12% undecided. The same release reported a gender gap: among men, Sherrill led 46% to 43%; among women, she led 48% to 33%.
Treat that as one snapshot from a single pollster, not a forecast. The roughly ten-point margin sits well outside the gender subsample gaps, so the headline is the more reliable figure; the men's result in particular is close enough to be within any plausible sampling error. The 12% undecided share is large enough that the race could tighten.
For a concrete use: if you are writing about the contest, cite the topline and fieldwork dates, and note the gender split as a directional pattern rather than a precise measurement. If you want to compare against other pollsters covering New Jersey, the Rutgers-Eagleton site itself is the primary source for its own releases at Rutgers-Eagleton Poll, and its poll data archive is the place to check whether a newer release has superseded this one before you publish.
Why should I trust Rutgers-Eagleton poll results after high-profile polling misses?
Trust in the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll rests on its method and transparency, not on a promise that polls are always right. The center runs a probability-based, multi-mode panel of New Jersey adults (the Rutgers-Eagleton/SSRS Garden State Panel) and publishes its releases and a poll data archive, so you can inspect question wording, sample and results rather than accept a headline number. That transparency is the practical basis for judging any single poll.
High-profile misses usually come from two places: coverage and weighting problems in samples, and interpretation—pundits treating a snapshot as a forecast. The center's own director, Ashley Koning, has made the second point directly, arguing that "the whole reason we have polls is to have data instead of anecdotes" and that data should come first. That is her framing of the problem, not a guarantee of accuracy; the useful takeaway is to weigh the poll's numbers over the commentary built on top of them.
For a reader deciding whether to rely on a result, check these before trusting it:
- Population and mode: Is it a New Jersey sample, and was it conducted by probability panel, phone or online? The Garden State Panel is described as probability-based and multi-mode, which is a stronger design than an opt-in online poll.
- Field dates and sample size: A July 31–August 11 field period, as in the 2025 gubernatorial release, tells you how current the snapshot is.
- Question wording and margins: Subgroup figures (men, women) carry wider error than the topline; treat small gaps as noise.
- Source of the claim: Distinguish the poll release from a pundit's interpretation of it.
As a concrete example, the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial release reported Mikie Sherrill at 47% and Jack Ciattarelli at 37%, with 12% undecided. The right use is to read that as a lead within a snapshot taken over a specific two-week window, not as a prediction—and to look at the released PDF for the exact wording and sample details.
For comparison, other public pollsters publish their methods too; Pew Research Center is a useful reference for how to read methodology and margin of error. The practical rule: trust a poll in proportion to how much of its method you can verify, and discount any claim that goes beyond what the released data supports.
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